Polymarket Trader

00xkimis

0x004151c564da49671f76a0447ce77f9041c1967c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.61
Realized PnL: $230.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $80.73
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $28.76
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $43.76
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$11.83

Yes position

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.9
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $43.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.98
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.98

No position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32.25
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Stars

Ends Dec 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Oilers position

Bruins vs. Oilers

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Bulls position

Jazz vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Mystery drones shot down by Friday?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?

No 3.9% 35.71 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?

No 86% 11.42 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?

No 86% 8.57 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 56% 10.6 shares
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Yes 32% 9.6 shares
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

No 16% 5 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 5 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 80.6% 3.5 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 95.8% 24.06 shares
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?

Yes 41% 20 shares
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 27% 10 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?

Yes 46% 20 shares