yachaa

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$136.83

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $852.08
Potential profit: $852.08
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $505.32
Potential payout: $771.48
Potential profit: $266.16
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $82.28

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.76
Potential profit: $593.76
User PnL: -$147.83

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.3
Potential profit: $542.3
User PnL: -$455.19

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $515.28
Potential profit: $513.73
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$343.6

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $93.56
Potential payout: $488.55
Potential profit: $394.99
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$116.52

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470.34
Potential profit: $470.34
User PnL: -$125.74

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 66.4%
Current value: $299.29
Potential payout: $451.08
Potential profit: $151.79
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $26.87
Potential payout: $413.33
Potential profit: $386.46
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$65.27

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $108.62
Potential payout: $350.39
Potential profit: $241.77
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$37.94

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $26.34
Potential payout: $309.92
Potential profit: $283.58
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$132.13

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.59
Potential profit: $304.59
User PnL: -$213.21

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $41.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $258.45
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$41

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $71.25
Potential payout: $185.06
Potential profit: $113.81
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$36.09

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $123.29
Potential payout: $127.96
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.37
Potential profit: $104.37
User PnL: -$17.82

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $59.71
Potential payout: $85.93
Potential profit: $26.22
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$4.73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.98
Potential profit: $64.98
User PnL: -$37.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$39.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.29
Potential profit: $57.29
User PnL: -$47.55

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.81

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.52

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.58

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.37

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.64

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.74

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.65

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.84

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.12

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.92

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.88

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.69

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?