Polymarket Trader

not.found

0x004a8e748a0a3acb999993331f65583418b41146

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.56
Realized PnL: $3.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$1.03K

No position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $212.94
Potential payout: $235.03
Potential profit: $22.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $32.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $205.63
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $29.38
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.83
Potential profit: $49.83
User PnL: -$14

No position

Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.13
Potential profit: $36.13
User PnL: -$23.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.33

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $403.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.19

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $146.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.52

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.25

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.86

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 86% 235 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 39% 25.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 20% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 49% 8.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 66% 7.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Down 18% 81.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Down 27% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Down 50% 8.62 shares