No position
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.02
- Potential payout
- $50.05
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
OverthinkerExtraordinaire
0x0050f4611860c75a341e75762eca943def2c987c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.97
- Realized PnL
- $19.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13.95
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 29?No 99% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 28?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 27?No 98% 12 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 26?No 99% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?No 99% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 24?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?No 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?No 99% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?No 98% 12 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 54.5 million views on day 6?No 99% 13 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 99.9% 35 shares