FK-PM-GiveMyMoneyBack

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $6.05K
Potential profit: $4.81K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $689.79

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.81K
User PnL: -$63.89

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $333.57
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.47K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$152.35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $538.06
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$243.64

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $3.39K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $289.84

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $434.69
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$40.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $162.02
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$71.78

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$236.48

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $484.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$110.5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $45.05
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $460.89
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $677.12
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $203.28

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $293.12
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $735.74
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$229.42

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $213.82
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $804.38
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$4.07

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $167.13
Potential payout: $955
Potential profit: $787.88
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$85.97

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $137.65
Potential payout: $949.32
Potential profit: $811.67
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$21.71

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $276.58
Potential payout: $851
Potential profit: $574.43
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$48.04

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $261.42
Potential payout: $829.91
Potential profit: $568.49
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $203.01
Potential payout: $812.03
Potential profit: $609.02
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.03
Potential profit: $757.03
User PnL: -$42.22

Yes position

Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $29.77
Potential payout: $726.02
Potential profit: $696.25
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$110.77

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $698.78
Potential payout: $726
Potential profit: $27.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $120.58

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $257.52
Potential payout: $696
Potential profit: $438.48
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $26.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.7

Yes position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.6

No position

Will France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

No position

Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET