Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $548.78
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $670.73
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $48.78
Polymarket Trader
bli
0x0067514cbb17c9245e9853c68276040d6693ed88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.78
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.62
- Potential profit
- $563.62
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.04
- Potential profit
- $550.04
- User PnL
- -$184.44
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.65
- Potential profit
- $289.65
- User PnL
- -$165.34
No position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.47
- Potential profit
- $102.47
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $889.62
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.3
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.95
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $220.57
Houston position
Houston vs. Duke
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.5
No position
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.03
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Thunder position
Hornets vs. Thunder
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Maple Leafs position
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Bulls position
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Serbia position
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.67
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.3
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Kamala announce VP pick Saturday?
Ends Aug 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
France position
Olympic Men’s Basketball Final: USA vs. France
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.61
Yes position
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 41% 1,219.51 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 3.4% 571.42 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 3.5% 571.43 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes 98.4% 585.4 shares
- Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?No 99% 20 shares
- Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.9% 568.83 shares
- Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 17.7% 563.62 shares
- Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 37% 270.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 97.1% 728.77 shares
- Cavaliers vs. BullsBulls 81% 1.23 shares
- Cavaliers vs. BullsCavaliers 22% 4.55 shares