No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $117.58
- Potential payout
- $259.85
- Potential profit
- $142.27
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- -$117.62
Polymarket Trader
yummyummyummy
0x007f8592835b6470c25237130417f53d5e36233a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $378.97
- Realized PnL
- $3.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $82.07
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $11.46
- Potential payout
- $80.75
- Potential profit
- $69.29
- Multiplier
- 7.05x
- User PnL
- -$35.99
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $68.76
- Potential payout
- $68.93
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $10.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $49.53
- Potential payout
- $59.67
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $57.55
- Potential payout
- $57.93
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $15.97
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $36.88
- Potential profit
- $35.61
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$20.86
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $28.38
- Potential payout
- $33.51
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $23.48
- Potential payout
- $30.11
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $12.02
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $7.57
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.45
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $284.21
Yes position
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $220.67
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.86
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 23 above $265?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.39
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.42
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.78
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.75
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.56
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.14
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.76
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.51
No position
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.06
Up position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.96
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $70.42
Up position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.9
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.21
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.22
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.11
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 90% 414.32 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 90% 153.24 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 63.1% 5.48 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 72.8% 7.14 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 77.8% 18.07 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes 89% 19.9 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 88.7% 18.39 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 84.5% 4.07 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 89.5% 23.87 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 94.5% 65.82 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 60.7% 14.53 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 89.2% 10.11 shares