No position
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?
Ends Jul 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
dafa30
0x008129ef3585e10cc4ff6c2a4d516cf5bdced0ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.88
- Realized PnL
- $49.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $14.78
- Potential payout
- $15.94
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Ethereum all time high before October?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.81
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.93
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 27?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US strikes Yemen before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 96.9% 15.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 97% 10.31 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 94.1% 15.94 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 82% 31.71 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 94.5% 13.76 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?No 97% 9.28 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No 94.5% 10.58 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 10.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?Yes 93.4% 5.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No 88% 6.82 shares