Polymarket Trader

0x0085...1d78

0x0085e8e18ef1b5aca85a0e2d1794ceeaca2c1d78

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $156.62
Realized PnL: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $98.16
Potential payout: $98.21
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $34.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $41.2
Potential profit: $24.52
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $20.84
Potential payout: $35.02
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.8%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10.24
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 3.25x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $7.6
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3.81
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $3.72
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $3.62
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $2.52
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.77

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.38

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.57

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 5, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 73% 4.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

No 76% 4.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

No 80% 2.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 6?

No 69% 3.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Yes 41.5% 10.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

No 63.7% 3.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

No 77.9% 3.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 6?

No 86% 2.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

No 59.9% 6.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?

No 87% 2.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

No 67.7% 8.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

No 56% 21.5 shares