Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.36K
- Potential profit
- $239.36K
- User PnL
- -$17.31K
Polymarket Trader
PollsR4Dummies
0x008bf350637ce1ea308b3622a0d44116f9f3b476
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.72K
- Realized PnL
- $317.11K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $5.21K
- Potential payout
- $182.88K
- Potential profit
- $177.67K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$833.56
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.96K
- Potential profit
- $88.96K
- User PnL
- -$6.18K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $16.5K
- Potential payout
- $69.2K
- Potential profit
- $52.69K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $9.03K
No position
Democratic sweep?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.76K
- Potential profit
- $17.76K
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.47K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.49K
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
No position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Oct 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.6
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.69
No position
Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Oct 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.12
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.45
Yes position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.73
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.51
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$393.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.3% 24,300 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.2% 10,686.51 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.8% 2,843.72 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3% 5,509.44 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 18% 1,344.34 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.5% 2,476.27 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 17% 942.89 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.2% 4,999.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 39.8% 3,606.7 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 15% 4,085.36 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 45% 4,886.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 16.1% 70 shares