Yes position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $202.85
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $924.1
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$78.59
Polymarket Trader
mang90
0x0096fa1b91d10d5282612e21d47980161593de43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.98K
- Realized PnL
- $3.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $193.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $706.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $784.12
- Potential payout
- $873.67
- Potential profit
- $89.55
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.77
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $216.66
- Potential payout
- $787.86
- Potential profit
- $571.2
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $95.24
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $152.12
- Potential payout
- $780.08
- Potential profit
- $627.97
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$77.56
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $777.28
- Potential profit
- $606.28
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $157.3
- Potential payout
- $696
- Potential profit
- $538.7
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $47.82
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $137.42
- Potential payout
- $624.65
- Potential profit
- $487.23
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$137.71
Yes position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $257.09
- Potential payout
- $546.99
- Potential profit
- $289.9
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $20.67
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $35.7
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $464.3
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $73.34
- Potential payout
- $473.13
- Potential profit
- $399.79
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $39.32
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $53.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $346.6
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $23.8
Yes position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $43.8
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $356.19
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $252
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $85.4
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $194.6
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $23.8
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $69.37
- Potential payout
- $207.07
- Potential profit
- $137.7
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.36
- Potential profit
- $200.36
- User PnL
- -$17.19
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $107
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $180.48
- Potential profit
- $175.9
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $88.03
- Potential payout
- $136.48
- Potential profit
- $48.45
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $21.06
- Potential payout
- $85.95
- Potential profit
- $64.89
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $32.48
- Potential payout
- $59.6
- Potential profit
- $27.12
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $28.07
- Potential payout
- $58.48
- Potential profit
- $30.41
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652
No position
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $336.77
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.36
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.98
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.43
Yes position
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.94
Yes position
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.24
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.31
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $52.1
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.86
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.02
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.65
Yes position
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.17
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $30.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 17% 45 shares
- Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 16.8% 242.07 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 1,194.98 shares
- Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 6.4% 7.31 shares
- Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 37.63 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 49% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.5% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 29% 133.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.4% 50 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.2% 1,569.49 shares