Polymarket Trader

fakenine

0x00b2e5a4ff678dbc3f94de302140568cc7d0da44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.36
Realized PnL: -$282.47
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.61K
Potential profit: $8.61K
User PnL: -$34.45

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $38.36
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.86K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$27.82

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.66K
User PnL: -$72.62

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $4.09K
User PnL: -$70.98

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$18.41

Yes position

Will the US strike Iraq next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.73
Potential profit: $755.73
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.85
Potential profit: $530.85
User PnL: -$17.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508.81
Potential profit: $508.81
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.25
Potential profit: $395.25
User PnL: -$47.43

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.81
Potential profit: $250.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.48
Potential profit: $225.48
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.91
Potential profit: $220.91
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.7
Potential profit: $207.7
User PnL: -$20.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.12
Potential profit: $206.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$10

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.9
Potential profit: $176.9
User PnL: -$5.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$6.43

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.01
Potential profit: $125.01
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.68

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.8

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.42

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.95

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Macron out as president of France in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.07

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.17

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 12% 395.25 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 1% 4,706 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 1.6% 1,195 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.2% 937.37 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 937.38 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.8% 3,125 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 4.8% 961.13 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Yes 0.5% 3,129.63 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Yes 14% 252.07 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Yes 2.3% 2,534.66 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Yes 15.9% 252.08 shares