Polymarket Trader

CRMUSK

0x00c840982a21159bd108ed80e36fba9db141a75f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $3.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $138.65
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.76K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $38.35

No position

Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$242

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677.39
Potential profit: $677.39
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $292.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $207.5
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $76.27
Potential payout: $324.56
Potential profit: $248.29
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$30.1

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$102

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $241.49
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $211.68
Potential payout: $246.15
Potential profit: $34.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $108.92

No position

Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $107
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $15

No position

Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $96
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $104
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189
Potential profit: $189
User PnL: -$46.75

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $167.81
Potential payout: $188.98
Potential profit: $21.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $69.67

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$20.8

NIP position

Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $60.49
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.5

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.42
Potential profit: $79.42
User PnL: -$24.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.97

No position

Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.74

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.35

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218

No position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.42

No position

Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.05

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.87

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.08

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.32

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.8

No position

Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.2

Svitolina position

Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.89

No position

Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.45

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.07

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.16

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.13

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.86

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

TheMongolz 45% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 41% 160.82 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5

Over 58% 100 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 52.3% 40 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 52.2% 19.99 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 51.9% 40 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 51.8% 20 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 51.7% 68.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 45% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11.3% 38 shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 33% 300 shares