Polymarket Trader

placerv2

0x00d1bfdb216e363bdb1a04dc02865a4dd99ec8a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.22K
Realized PnL: $409.95
Win rate: 35%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.88K
Potential payout: $7.59K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$245.56

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $696.41

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $5.83K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $676.81
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $86.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $465

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $290.76

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$373.99

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $759.23
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $39.96

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $309.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$61.69

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $905
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $105

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $529
Potential payout: $920
Potential profit: $391
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $556.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $143.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.8%
Current value: $155.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $41.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.01

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.18

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.51

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.85

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$36.3

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$206.57

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$209

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$330.59

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$429.21

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.3K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 95.2% 216.1 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 6.9% 1,426.47 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.4% 6,000 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 21.9% 165.08 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 22% 333.84 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 41% 200.1 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Yes 94% 199.06 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 90% 2,817.86 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 22% 6,000 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 14.5% 6,000 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 36% 1,997.98 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 78% 2,867.94 shares