Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Polymarket Trader
coolquail
0x00d2ebb4da03856cf1a795bd2513b23260d7fb50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.94K
- Realized PnL
- $17.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $366.56
- Potential payout
- $4.89K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.21K
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $321.39
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.15K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $218.47
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$365.08
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $964.6
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$276
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $293.07
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $183.08
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $272.86
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$310.39
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$81
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $52.65
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$195.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $752.88
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $832.13
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$84.93
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $62.29
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$174.26
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $62.48
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$131
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$199.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $490.6
- Potential payout
- $706
- Potential profit
- $215.4
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $68.07
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $560
- User PnL
- -$207.2
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $60.63
- Potential profit
- $40.47
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $19.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.09x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $772.69
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $717.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $690.54
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $687.48
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.56
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.98
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.81
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.38
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.21
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.22
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.01
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.82x
- User PnL
- $163.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $157.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 489 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 11.8% 127.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 400 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 24% 1,486.18 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 19.9% 726 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 177 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 14% 33 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 14% 115.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 55% 217 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 13% 100 shares