No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $47.95
- Potential payout
- $223.04
- Potential profit
- $175.09
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Polymarket Trader
0x00ddC9aec55243Db9b15cC74a1AAB9cbe615d88d-1781864883671
0x00ddc9aec55243db9b15cc74a1aab9cbe615d88d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.34
- Realized PnL
- $11.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $103.47
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $35.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.29
- Potential profit
- $93.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $17.87
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 22.4% 223.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 61% 8.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 6% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 50.2% 9.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 92% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 55% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 65% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp 4% 125 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 61% 32.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 72% 138.89 shares