Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$150
Polymarket Trader
0xMerridew
0x00e4e235bdfa6d3af1491b8981754c9b79777413
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74K
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $746.17
- Potential payout
- $773.24
- Potential profit
- $27.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $126.17
Yes position
Will fewer than 330 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.38
- Potential profit
- $677.38
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $665.12
- Potential profit
- $665.12
- User PnL
- -$326
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $483.62
- Potential profit
- $482.41
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$248.79
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $249.67
- Potential payout
- $387.08
- Potential profit
- $137.41
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.38
- Potential profit
- $380.38
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $309.49
- Potential payout
- $361.98
- Potential profit
- $52.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $69.07
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $318.43
- Potential payout
- $320.51
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- $68.43
Yes position
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.34
- Potential profit
- $282.34
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $110.24
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.35
- Potential profit
- $98.35
- User PnL
- -$96
No position
Will Google reach $315 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.8
- Potential profit
- $55.8
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.17
- Potential profit
- $52.17
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.68
- Potential profit
- $50.68
- User PnL
- -$37
Texans position
Broncos vs. Texans
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.65
- Potential profit
- $50.65
- User PnL
- -$39
No position
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$40
Washington State position
Washington State vs. Oregon State
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.56
- Potential profit
- $50.56
- User PnL
- -$45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.42
Yes position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.18
Yes position
Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.35
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.96
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.57
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.76
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.3
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.18
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.67
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.46
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.48
No position
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
No position
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 64.6% 387.08 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 78% 320.51 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No 92% 130.43 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 81.5% 122.7 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 80.2% 124.65 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 43% 465.12 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes 70% 42.86 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes 69% 72.42 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes 51.7% 483.62 shares
- Epstein client list released in 2025?No 69% 100.1 shares
- Epstein client list released in 2025?No 97.9% 100.1 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?No 99.3% 503.52 shares