Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $11.54
- Potential payout
- $11.74
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Polymarket Trader
upstage-feline
0x00f305c3daeb87ba3678da1a3502f89fb0611170
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.37
- Realized PnL
- $13.18
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $4.24
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Over position
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Under position
Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.4% 4.24 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.5% 5.24 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 73% 6.85 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 85.2% 11.74 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No 97.9% 3.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 94.9% 3.16 shares
- Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Yes 87% 3.45 shares
- Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Yes 87% 1.72 shares
- Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Yes 87% 1.72 shares
- Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Yes 87% 1.72 shares