Polymarket Trader

11122

0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $280.1K
Realized PnL: $2.59M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.41K
Potential payout: $359.31K
Potential profit: $355.9K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$983.79

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $237.66K
Potential profit: $233.74K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $503.85

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $5.29K
Potential payout: $234.95K
Potential profit: $229.66K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $212.03K
Potential profit: $206.84K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $156.96K
Potential payout: $188.32K
Potential profit: $31.36K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $50.02K

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $176.11K
Potential profit: $174.26K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $88.05

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $29.91K
Potential payout: $161.69K
Potential profit: $131.78K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$893

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $160.2K
Potential profit: $159.16K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$227.97

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.55K
Potential payout: $154.39K
Potential profit: $151.84K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $154.24K
Potential profit: $150.46K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $883.63

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $12.47K
Potential payout: $137.79K
Potential profit: $125.32K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $4.46K

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $137.01K
Potential profit: $135.71K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $509.95

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $134.65K
Potential profit: $130.68K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $8K
Potential payout: $109.61K
Potential profit: $101.61K
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $4.03K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $107.8K
Potential profit: $103.12K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $99.96K
Potential profit: $98.51K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $259.09

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $724.94
Potential payout: $96.66K
Potential profit: $95.93K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $48.33

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $88.43K
Potential profit: $86.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$34.58

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $86.21K
Potential profit: $81.86K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $78.21K
Potential profit: $75.98K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $253.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $833.29
Potential payout: $72.46K
Potential profit: $71.63K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $95.58

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $536.06
Potential payout: $71.47K
Potential profit: $70.94K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $140.66

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $23.37K
Potential payout: $70.3K
Potential profit: $46.92K
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: -$7.05K

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $805.67
Potential payout: $70.06K
Potential profit: $69.25K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $195.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $584.96K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.41K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.37K

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.74K

Yes position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.36K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.29K

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.49K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.24K

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.56K

Yes position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.64K

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.56K

Yes position

Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.89K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.46K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.29K

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.55K

Nuggets position

NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.23K

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.88K

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.83K

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.22K

Yes position

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.96K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.19K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.94K

Howard Bison position

Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.31K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.93K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?

No 95.6% 24.23 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 10% 26.89 shares
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?

No 15% 340 shares
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?

No 19% 500 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 450 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.8% 20 shares
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.8% 50 shares
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 22 shares
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares