Polymarket Trader

0x0126b33A7676D5AE50E3814BFB976627FD1Ab3Cc-1753967330605

0x0126b33a7676d5ae50e3814bfb976627fd1ab3cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.16
Realized PnL: $38.11
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump resign today?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.33
Potential profit: $375.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.13
Potential profit: $297.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $164.75
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $140.64
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.18
Potential profit: $129.18
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.5
Potential profit: $127.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $101.96
Potential profit: $101.09
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.63
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.88
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.35
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $52.2
Potential profit: $22.45
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.74
Potential profit: $45.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $35.31
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Yes 38.3% 52.2 shares
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 333.33 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.8% 20.2 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.5% 45.45 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5% 119.04 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 9% 66.66 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Yes 5.5% 90.91 shares
Will Trump resign today?

Yes 0.8% 250 shares
Will Trump resign today?

Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Yes 8.9% 11.25 shares
Will Trump resign in 2025?

Yes 4.5% 22.33 shares