No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Polymarket Trader
HasmoCapital
0x01278c4b686ea688f4c177eb707b09bad2451230
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.12
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $981.65
- Potential profit
- $981.65
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $862.07
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $603.21
- Potential profit
- $603.21
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $67.12
- Potential payout
- $462.89
- Potential profit
- $395.78
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.97
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.23
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.97
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.45
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.39
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$452.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 19% 462.89 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 11,903.75 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 11,903.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 30% 1,848.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 27% 1,848.15 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.1% 981.65 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes 54.4% 3,901.03 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes 43.8% 3,901.04 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes 8.1% 603.21 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes 5.8% 862.07 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 51.4% 2,613.74 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 51.8% 1,349.22 shares