Polymarket Trader

Rjhats

0x01298e38b5efd4c9743a13fbbea63348b384b111

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.25
Realized PnL: $386.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.38
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.53
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $37.64
Potential profit: $37.45
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.75

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.95

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.77

Yes position

Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.61

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.36

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

No position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

No position

Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

No position

Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Gauntlet" on Hot Ones?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $5.25

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

Yes 68% 15 shares
Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Will "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?

No 62% 5 shares
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 68% 20 shares
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?

Yes 68% 20 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?

Yes 94% 117.02 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 35.6% 14.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 78% 6.93 shares