Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $719.07
- Potential payout
- $10.07K
- Potential profit
- $9.35K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$23.02
Polymarket Trader
Fulgurator
0x01309d49fd508ba7b2379967bdc7197e5b47274c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $822.55
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $407.45
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $92.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $32.45
No position
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $220.13
- Potential payout
- $271.76
- Potential profit
- $51.63
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $125.01
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by August 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $138.46
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $33.54
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$13.17
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $155.92
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $1.48
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $70.49
- Potential payout
- $82.93
- Potential profit
- $12.44
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
N
No position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.72
Yes position
Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.6
Yes position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.34
Yes position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Y
Yes position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Marine" or "Veteran" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Vietnam" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Vietnam" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?Yes 99% 205.91 shares
- Will Trump say "Marine" or "Veteran" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?Yes 98.1% 421.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?Yes 99% 156 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 99% 850 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 98% 250 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 96.8% 150 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 92.4% 45.95 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 91% 100 shares
- Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?Yes 90% 100 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 7.3% 3,571 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Yes 82.5% 124.71 shares
- Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?No 40.9% 662.58 shares