Polymarket Trader

arturoaa1108

0x0134ad991c695d31a92d47fe83504de3bbee9054

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $464.67
Potential payout: $516.3
Potential profit: $51.63
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $36.97

No position

Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $26.15
Potential payout: $275.27
Potential profit: $249.12
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $207.06
Potential profit: $202.63
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $204.63
Potential profit: $193.28
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$7.26

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $204.19
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.96

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $133.83
Potential profit: $129.15
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $111.27
Potential profit: $107.27
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$19.29

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $106.3
Potential profit: $105.82
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $36.92
Potential payout: $105.49
Potential profit: $68.57
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$2.11

No position

Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $93.34
Potential payout: $105.47
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $15.29

No position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $83.8
Potential payout: $104.1
Potential profit: $20.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $64.28
Potential payout: $102.03
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 76.3%
Current value: $41.89
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $13.01
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $28.9
Potential profit: $27.66
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $20.21
Potential profit: $18.09
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.9% 50 shares
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 9.2% 19.63 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.2% 60.5 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.4% 34.4 shares
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

No 7% 30.83 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1% 106.3 shares
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 94.5% 18 shares
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Yes 37% 105.49 shares
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

No 70% 104.1 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 61% 102.03 shares
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 94.3% 5 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.6% 55 shares