Polymarket Trader

Hyperlong

@monolith_fund

0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $519.24K
Realized PnL: $117.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $165.7K
Potential payout: $186.39K
Potential profit: $20.69K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$405.41

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $22.36K
Potential payout: $138.48K
Potential profit: $116.11K
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$46.87K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $116.11K
Potential payout: $138.48K
Potential profit: $22.36K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $46.87K

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $72.66K
Potential profit: $71.17K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$212.53

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $42.6K
Potential payout: $65.04K
Potential profit: $22.44K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$11.66K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $255.62
Potential payout: $56.81K
Potential profit: $56.55K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$677.91

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $119.51
Potential payout: $47.81K
Potential profit: $47.69K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$420.73

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $43.29K
Potential payout: $45.98K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.11K

No position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $28.11K
Potential payout: $30.96K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $866.95

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $17.86K
Potential profit: $16.16K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$691.42

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $9.33K
Potential payout: $16.13K
Potential profit: $6.8K
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $110.33

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.81K
Potential payout: $15.1K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$674.32

No position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $13.12K
Potential profit: $5.97K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.87K

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.3%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $11.78K
Potential profit: $8.22K
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: -$2.13K

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $9.06K
Potential payout: $11.62K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$132.42

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $10.85K
Potential payout: $11.47K
Potential profit: $613.46
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $330.31

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $6.67K
Potential payout: $11.03K
Potential profit: $4.36K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$604.01

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $10.71K
Potential profit: $9.25K
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.8%
Current value: $8.63K
Potential payout: $9.94K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $378.41

No position

Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.65K
Potential payout: $8.69K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $440.08

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $316.17
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$155.98

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.62K
Potential payout: $8.32K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $208.11

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.28K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$81.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.52K
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $369.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.16K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28K

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $4.75K

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.41K

No position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Suns position

Suns vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 2,178.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89% 35,236 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89% 78,083 shares
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 1,827.17 shares
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 701.21 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80% 452.15 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 591 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?

No 90% 40 shares
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

No 54% 20 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 20 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 30% 20 shares
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?

No 56% 20 shares