Polymarket Trader

AtomicInsanity

0x01567edbbc8576605553cab94f5240580fd62ddc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $248.46
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$20.7

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.5
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.99
User PnL: -$30.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$40.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $100.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $399.75
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $47.05

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $56.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $443.25
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $55.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$25.6

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $17.33
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $332.68
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $339.99
Potential profit: $330.98
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $259.98
Potential profit: $246.85
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$6.33

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $184.99
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$3.08

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.98
Potential profit: $189.98
User PnL: -$16.1

Over position

West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.88
Potential profit: $181.88
User PnL: -$1.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.09

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Over position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.99

Over position

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.6

Over position

AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Yes position

Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Over position

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.31

Over position

SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Over position

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.55

Yes position

Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

Over position

Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.86

Yes position

AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Over position

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.89

Yes position

AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Over position

Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Over position

Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 400 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 88% 112.5 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5

Over 52% 10 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 12.3% 20 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,500 shares
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 140.22 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 18% 31.25 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 16% 31.25 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 26% 20 shares
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 20 shares
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 30 shares