Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $85.58
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $30.22
Polymarket Trader
Aardwulf
0x015a9adf745ca39578516221c415e6c5789186a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395
- Potential profit
- $395
- User PnL
- -$213.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.77
- Potential profit
- $225.77
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.76
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.58
Ansem position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Solana above $140 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Spain position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
$BTC dips below $55k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Blast airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
$BTC dips below $50k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Ansem criminal charges in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Yes position
Will England win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Swell airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.98
No position
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$107.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 3.3% 140 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 2.6% 1,922.06 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 1,132.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 1,132.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 54% 395 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 58% 395 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 3.1% 50 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 22.1% 225.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?No 71.8% 2,697.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?No 10.7% 394 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?No 18.6% 146.23 shares