Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $31.92
- Potential payout
- $12.77K
- Potential profit
- $12.73K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.05
Polymarket Trader
ksosdn
0x015b3d76c43bff5ac77d0abeac510de1e7e4b07a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.31
- Realized PnL
- $550.05
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675.58
- Potential profit
- $675.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.17
- Potential profit
- $454.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $277.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.47
- Potential profit
- $247.47
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.21
- Potential profit
- $237.21
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.97
- Potential profit
- $209.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.3
- Potential profit
- $190.3
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $19.69
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $167.81
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $9.21
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $166.23
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.87
- Potential profit
- $168.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.84
- Potential profit
- $156.84
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.96
- Potential profit
- $135.96
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.18
- Potential profit
- $126.18
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Over position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?Yes 6.8% 73.43 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?Yes 0.4% 454.17 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 3% 66.67 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 15% 6.67 shares