No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $562.49
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$770.19
Polymarket Trader
geradeaus
0x0173951566f00b834389a5f7901fc7b9f0971949
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- $2.86K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $781.79
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $864.08
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $153.46
No position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$151
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.81
- Potential profit
- $65.81
- User PnL
- -$35.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.62K
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $150.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.33
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $8
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 290 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 38% 1,355.87 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No 45% 1,092 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No 46% 321.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 25% 4,700 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 24% 657 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 93% 102.08 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 81% 100 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 81% 401.1 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 82% 8 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 82% 203.1 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 83% 44 shares