Polymarket Trader

youngshoot1st

0x0198c1553b858347c518fe8798cb6c40de17dea0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: $1.86K
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $513.89
Potential payout: $342.59K
Potential profit: $342.08K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.66K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$325.48

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $272.63
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.13K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $72.63

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $207.38
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $708.57
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$19.29

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $535.71
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $21.71
Potential payout: $487.8
Potential profit: $466.1
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.5
Potential profit: $437.5
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $101.84
Potential payout: $422.57
Potential profit: $320.73
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$8.16

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $393.62
Potential profit: $391.46
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$97.65

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.77
Potential profit: $323.77
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.08
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.71
Potential profit: $264.71
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$5

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $137.61
Potential profit: $123.23
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.62

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.24

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Diego Lopes position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.4% 10,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.4% 87,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.5% 140,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.7% 20,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 16,050 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 37,833.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 25,000 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 28% 71.43 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 3.5% 1,435.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 4.8% 1,041.67 shares