Polymarket Trader

oridant

0x019ef6b0766b75a668c1052c7aa95de60bfceabf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.15
Realized PnL: $250.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $136.39
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$97.66

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.23
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $13.83
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $55.14
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$6.17

No position

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.75
Potential profit: $41.75
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.73
Potential profit: $37.73
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $31.3
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $13.73
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $20.17
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$6.27

Yes position

Will Sophi Balerdi win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $20.53
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.37

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.96

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.52

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obama" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Abortion" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hunter" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rigged" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Putin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Trump announce VP pick before the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 23% 148.04 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 10.3% 1,950.2 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

No 96.9% 45.45 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

No 11% 45.45 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 95.6% 133.7 shares
Broncos vs. Commanders

Broncos 68% 88.24 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 2,727.27 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Yes 74% 27.03 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 86% 15.38 shares
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Yes 60% 34.37 shares
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Yes 16% 10 shares