Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $14.95K
- Potential profit
- $11.73K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Polymarket Trader
dddad1
0x01a2db1db31c7505dbcfbf828b39e4c55919b1a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.12K
- Realized PnL
- $8.68K
- Win rate
- 23.1%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.76K
- Potential profit
- $10.76K
- User PnL
- -$717.26
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $9.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.59K
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- $175.91
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $51.84
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.05K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$128.15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$535
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- User PnL
- -$444
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$663.21
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$186
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $333.54
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$66.45
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $110.06
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$189.94
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $232.03
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $32.03
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.2
- Potential profit
- $565.2
- User PnL
- -$41.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.83
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$26.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.58
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.86
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.65
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$88.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$492.02
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$693.88
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$774.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 18.2% 109.74 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 15.1% 1,325.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.2% 1,787.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.9% 2,752.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.3% 2,926.61 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 8.5% 356.49 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 28.6% 350.03 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 13% 2,307.69 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 7% 7,142.86 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 15.5% 1,930.85 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 6% 2,583.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 10% 2,600 shares