Polymarket Trader

topmoon

@ethtomorow

0x01a5fb1fa13f378138a31382c8364b5d4e2b0e36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.71K
Realized PnL: $7.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

France position

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$1.91K

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $829.99
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$459.99

England position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$962.78

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $927.9
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $659.61
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$370.65

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $878.95
Potential profit: $878.95
User PnL: -$298.83

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$488

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $788.58
Potential profit: $788.58
User PnL: -$497.21

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $565.04
Potential payout: $648.73
Potential profit: $83.69
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$132.75

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$182.19

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$90.2

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$43

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $45.82
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.8

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $833.99

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.27

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.72

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.04

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.28

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.97

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.66

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.67

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.76

No position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.79

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.41

No position

Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.39

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.97

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.59

Under position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.81

No position

Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.22

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.96

No position

Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.74

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

England 54% 1,782.93 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

No 87.5% 75.73 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

No 87.2% 368 shares
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 10 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 204.98 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 878.93 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78.6% 400 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

France 59.8% 1,700 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

France 59.8% 500 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 99% 200 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 93% 10 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 93% 20 shares