Polymarket Trader

farik18

0x01adea599a865a092b51ee4573581a75fc1390f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4K
Realized PnL: $8.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $106.21

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $476.95

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$386.91

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $97.1
Potential payout: $966.14
Potential profit: $869.04
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$140.04

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $898.29
Potential payout: $898.74
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $170.31

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $880.78
Potential profit: $880.78
User PnL: -$492.41

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $808.5
Potential profit: $808.5
User PnL: -$113.19

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653.8
Potential profit: $653.8
User PnL: -$111.46

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.58
Potential profit: $524.58
User PnL: -$25.18

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.42
Potential profit: $382.42
User PnL: -$130.02

No position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.39
Potential profit: $284.39
User PnL: -$31.28

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.24
Potential profit: $178.24
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.05
Potential profit: $168.05
User PnL: -$18.15

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.38
Potential profit: $110.38
User PnL: -$18.76

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.99
Potential profit: $92.99
User PnL: -$60.44

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.5
Potential profit: $32.5
User PnL: -$10.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.56

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.66

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.06

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $501.27

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $336.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.87

Devils position

Devils vs. Stars

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.8

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.77

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165

Blues position

Blues vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.62

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Devils

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.89

Senators position

Sabres vs. Senators

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.72

Sharks position

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Utah position

Utah vs. Kraken

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 75.1% 449.99 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 78.9% 749.88 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 80% 749.89 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 75.7% 450 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 74% 74.02 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 71% 7.5 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 22% 122.24 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 10.8% 189.89 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 10.8% 0.03 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 10.8% 2.55 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 10.8% 14.9 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 10.8% 0.28 shares