Polymarket Trader

0xEc50Ce689F848369508aaf77c1842c56aB283bB2-1768137997984

0x01c4bef989911744c642367bf3543091ed964e02

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.67
Realized PnL: $8.89
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $11.59
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $124.77
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $23.48
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $31.72
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $15.71
Potential payout: $28.06
Potential profit: $12.34
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $19.02
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 94% 4.26 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

No 35.6% 28.06 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

No 55% 18.18 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Yes 82% 24.39 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

No 87% 34.48 shares
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 136.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Down 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Down 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Down 96% 1.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 65% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Down 97% 1.03 shares