Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $27.93
Polymarket Trader
Estraeuc8
0x01cbd62e136c776edd5ef544d16c6cad5adfc66b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $82.77
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
SE Louisiana position
Nicholls State vs. SE Louisiana
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
Georgia State position
Old Dominion vs. Georgia State
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will ICE detain 1200 or more people on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $27.93
SE Louisiana position
Nicholls State vs. SE Louisiana
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
Georgia State position
Old Dominion vs. Georgia State
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will ICE detain 1200 or more people on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Baylor position
West Virginia vs. Baylor
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Akron position
Akron vs. Toledo
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 701 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 1,006 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.2% 266 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 113 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.1% 75 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83% 162 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.1% 158 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.2% 1,001 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 1.1% 574 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 1.1% 574 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37% 86 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37% 422 shares