Polymarket Trader

CreamCream1215

0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.36K
Realized PnL: $11.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $322
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $378
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $22.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $600.01
User PnL: -$80.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $138
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $462
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$24.81

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $450.32
Potential payout: $572.92
Potential profit: $122.6
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $202.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $539.78
Potential profit: $538.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$383.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $396
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$21.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $395.2
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$115.28

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $298.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.8
User PnL: $30.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$66.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 33.9%
Current value: $92.59
Potential payout: $273.14
Potential profit: $180.55
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: $28.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $156.21
Potential profit: $138.87
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: -$60.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $15.26
Potential payout: $89.77
Potential profit: $74.51
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.33
Potential profit: $31.33
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $21.76
Potential profit: $20.66
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $17.78
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $10.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $642.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19?

No 99% 127.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 34.3% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Yes 68.6% 35.71 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Yes 53% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Yes 52% 233.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 15.3% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Yes 45% 55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 41% 118.85 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 22.5% 10.76 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 17.1% 11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19?

No 82.4% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Yes 50% 60 shares