Polymarket Trader

bakrac

0x01da6fd88b8e2e1151adaa131589580fa5d5915b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $202.48
Realized PnL: $37.94
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $202.48
Potential payout: $385.67
Potential profit: $183.19
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $47.51

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$92.4

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.69

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.62

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$27.6

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

No 41% 100.1 shares
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

No 39% 150 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 121 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 66% 121 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Yes 77% 90.88 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 38% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 50% 200 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 61% 330 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 256.41 shares
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

No 40% 15.68 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Yes 18% 240.44 shares