OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $368.32
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $782.68
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$23.02
Polymarket Trader
1236789
0x01ddf776eb7dcb1ec62994875f1db7764ed0fb46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $378.87
- Realized PnL
- $3.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $591.1
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.82
Appalachian State Mountaineers position
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.6
Yes position
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.85
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.31
No position
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.64
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.83
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
Yes position
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.12
Yes position
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.58
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.68
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.71
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.88
No position
Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.1
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.44
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.68
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.79
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.97
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.54
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $27.57
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $25.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?No 41% 539 shares
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No 77% 515 shares
- Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?No 29% 539 shares
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No 74% 515 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?No 87% 200 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No 77% 867 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 59% 89 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 51% 415 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 50% 116 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 58% 89 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No 75% 867 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 49% 111 shares