Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.2
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
0x01e63d37C3Eda691c0A081DaD3e23F129CFB1a13-1781259991974
0x01e63d37c3eda691c0a081dad3e23f129cfb1a13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.96
- Realized PnL
- $12.09
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.65
- Potential profit
- $242.65
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.38
- Potential profit
- $100.38
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $60.96
- Potential profit
- $45.27
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $54.31
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.2
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Y
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $35.51
- Potential profit
- $34.07
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $25.63
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $22.23
- Potential profit
- $21.42
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.12
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.94
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $9.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
South Africa position
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 3.9% 25.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 4.5% 22.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes 5.6% 35.51 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 99.9% 3.44 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp 53% 2.08 shares