Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Polymarket Trader
0x01eCE72249fB86166263e7ec2Dd6ee54B20DF344-1722506521757
0x01ece72249fb86166263e7ec2dd6ee54b20df344
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.16
- Realized PnL
- $942.57
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$522.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.96
- Potential profit
- $500.96
- User PnL
- -$250.48
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.14
- Potential profit
- $274.14
- User PnL
- -$137.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.07
- Potential profit
- $246.07
- User PnL
- -$123.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.47
- Potential profit
- $225.47
- User PnL
- -$116.72
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.76
- Potential profit
- $214.76
- User PnL
- -$107.38
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.01
- Potential profit
- $208.01
- User PnL
- -$104.01
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $79.16
- Potential payout
- $190.74
- Potential profit
- $111.59
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$10.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.23
- Potential profit
- $130.23
- User PnL
- -$66.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.3
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.25
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.37
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3AM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.6
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 50% 274.14 shares
- Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 50% 200.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 50% 242.17 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 62% 0.3 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 37% 877.95 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 36% 877.97 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 98.3% 85.29 shares
- Solana Up or Down - March 1, 7AM ETUp 50% 214.76 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ETDown 51% 224.45 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ETDown 99.9% 231.6 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ETDown 51% 231.61 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ETDown 51% 199.39 shares