Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $61.07
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $10.36
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Polymarket Trader
Nighthavenee
0x01faeea87c5f5959c8117d7004ada2f8bb391b4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.07
- Realized PnL
- $53.36
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
RMD Gaming position
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.44
- Potential profit
- $26.44
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $11.95
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 71.43 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 43% 93.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.5% 40.2 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Yes 96.2% 10.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes 75.3% 11.95 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 17.8% 11.24 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No 99.8% 22.06 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No 99.7% 22.07 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 93% 24.21 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 95% 24.21 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 24.67 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.2% 24.68 shares