Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $84.84
- Potential payout
- $840.03
- Potential profit
- $755.19
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Polymarket Trader
0x0213b49Ff5C64863C664d4AF0994747B97202Cbd-1769244215898
0x0213b49ff5c64863c664d4af0994747b97202cbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.84
- Realized PnL
- $53.31
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.17
- Potential profit
- $93.17
- User PnL
- -$20.3
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.11
- Potential profit
- $40.11
- User PnL
- -$23.4
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.48
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.17
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.29
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 11.1% 840.03 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 55% 98.15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 37% 145.88 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 42% 145.88 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 60.8 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 60.8 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 82% 19.23 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?No 68% 19.71 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 20% 51.5 shares
- Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No 84% 12.28 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No 30% 38 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No 99.3% 10.98 shares