No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.6K
- Potential profit
- $200.6K
- User PnL
- -$519.75
Polymarket Trader
joat88
0x021fe36ad969ac3c7660ab7385de98695736120d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.57K
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.35K
- Potential profit
- $6.35K
- User PnL
- -$349.28
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$122.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$103.5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.89
- Potential profit
- $888.89
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770
- Potential profit
- $770
- User PnL
- -$100.1
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680.09
- Potential profit
- $680.09
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.62
- Potential profit
- $537.62
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$231.5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$115
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.73
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
Yes position
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.83
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124
Over position
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.4
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Under position
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Broncos position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.5
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$168.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes 84.3% 593.4 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 14% 29.88 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 11% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 4.2% 959.89 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 71.9% 430 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 45% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 78% 370 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No 34% 300 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No 96% 393 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?No 78% 109.09 shares