Polymarket Trader

zb8

@zb8zb9

0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $443.86K
Realized PnL: $204.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $363.68K
Potential payout: $364.22K
Potential profit: $546.34
User PnL: $147.99K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.34K
Potential profit: $62.34K
User PnL: -$13.8K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $49.57K
Potential payout: $49.64K
Potential profit: $74.46
User PnL: $28.13K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5K
Potential profit: $38.5K
User PnL: -$664.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.88K
Potential profit: $30.88K
User PnL: -$9.2K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.5K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$700

No position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $16.69K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $12.26K
User PnL: -$1.96K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.96K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $10.89K
User PnL: -$718.16

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $600.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $49.67

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$3.78K

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.98K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.23K
User PnL: -$132.99

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.92K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$57.61

Yes position

Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Feyenoord win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Yes position

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$49.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72K

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $17.8K

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45K

No position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.34K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94K

DRX position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.86K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63K

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.96K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14K

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01K

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

Yes position

Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78K

largadosypelados position

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3K

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13K

Deep Cross Gaming position

LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 53.6% 3,937.37 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 56.2% 7,538.58 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 40% 325.4 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 39% 2,085.22 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 36% 2,631.75 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 37% 13,389.61 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 34% 2,897.59 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 31% 16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 85.8% 3,714.88 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.8% 23,384.55 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.2% 5,195.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83% 4,099.99 shares