No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $60.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $115.07
Polymarket Trader
pppddd
0x02253c295355f722f4e6ed08aa6ae799f99a4500
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.75K
- Realized PnL
- $30.05
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $722.3
- Potential payout
- $761.52
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.76
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $295.82
- Potential payout
- $341.99
- Potential profit
- $46.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $26.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 113.99 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 82% 1.87 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.5% 316.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91% 143.68 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 85% 151.36 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.4% 2.91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 90.5% 704.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 90% 144.44 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.6% 218.34 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.1% 112.23 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.2% 209.42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 112.36 shares