Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $65.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.16
Polymarket Trader
0x022C64C0C56Ef5789eF985DAE34A4f9A7E934873-1766949908478
0x022c64c0c56ef5789ef985dae34a4f9a7e934873
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.95K
- Realized PnL
- $745.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $24.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $473.59
- Potential payout
- $512.82
- Potential profit
- $39.23
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $73.59
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$164
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $63.84
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $88.16
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $13.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.81
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $59.57
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.11
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $44.54
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.75
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88
No position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.89
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.05
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.31
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.19
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 81.2% 234.61 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 85.2% 234.61 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 78% 512.82 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.9% 380.72 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 1,052.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.8% 1,044.26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 750 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 250 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 89.4% 1,059.7 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 88.6% 400 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 88.5% 532 shares