Polymarket Trader

parknight

0x0232e763ab4342332f172f47c9afd404069e397a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.41
Realized PnL: $90.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $35.84
Potential profit: $27.51
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35.05
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $9.36
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $10.32
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Europe" or "European" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mexico" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

No 98.1% 10.19 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 62.2% 16.08 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.9% 35.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Yes 93.5% 10.7 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 52.7% 18.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 64% 15.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 27% 35.09 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 96.9% 10.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Down 64% 15.22 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares