Edvinp

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2K
Potential profit: $18.2K
User PnL: -$7.54K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $9.33K
User PnL: -$7.46K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$3.4K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$2.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$2.88K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.64K
User PnL: -$2.18K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$1.57K

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$280

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$1.69K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$314.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$779.42

No position

Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.61
Potential profit: $885.61
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $53.17
Potential payout: $818.07
Potential profit: $764.89
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$656.82

No position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.03
Potential profit: $703.03
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.67
Potential profit: $544.67
User PnL: -$363.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$188

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$206

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.22
Potential profit: $399.22
User PnL: -$234.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.99
Potential profit: $319.99
User PnL: -$128

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $25.91
Potential payout: $148.04
Potential profit: $122.14
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$74.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$31.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.69
Potential profit: $62.69
User PnL: -$27.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.46

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.99

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.4

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.21

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET