Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$149.99
Polymarket Trader
0x024b8B6CDEB6A353437708337014ad6Fff97435A-1775406527844
0x024b8b6cdeb6a353437708337014ad6fff97435a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.39
- Realized PnL
- $391.6
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.55
- Potential profit
- $304.55
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.58
- Potential profit
- $288.58
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $94.41
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.85
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.96
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.83
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.66
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.67
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.44
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.46
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.57
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$38.09
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 8.4% 387.59 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 555.55 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 6.2% 868.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 384.61 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 1.8% 388.43 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 1.8% 657.17 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 1.7% 1,666.66 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 476.19 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 6.2% 1,846.4 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 22% 304.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 4% 2,222.22 shares